Category: Formation

27 missing in Nicaragua as Rina strengthens to a hurricane - February 4, 2012 by dharkanjhel
Rina is the sixth hurricane of the season and is drifting northwestward in the Northwest Caribbean. The high to our north will be re-enforced by  another front later in the week. Thus the only real concern for the U.S. is for The Keys .Through the week we will warm up until the next front brings in cooler winds out of Georgia Friday through the weekend.

Miami (CNN) — Rina strengthened to a Category 1 hurricane off the coast of Central America on Monday, as officials in Nicaragua searched for more than two dozen missing storm evacuees.

A navy boat ferrying people between the Miskito Cays and Puerto Cabezas, on the eastern coast, was reported missing on Sunday, according to Vice Adm. Roger Gonzalez of the Nicaraguan navy. Twenty-seven people were on board, he said.

Forecasters warn that the storm will strengthen further before making landfall later this week.

Readings from a reconnaissance aircraft showed the storm had 75 mph maximum sustained winds, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami. As of 5 p.m. ET, Rina was centered about 195 miles southwest of Grand Cayman island and 355 miles east-southeast of Chetumal, Mexico.

The storm was moving west-northwest at 3 mph, the forecast center said, and could strengthen to a Category 3 hurricane in the next 48 hours.

Earlier Monday, forecasters said Rina’s projected path had shifted course, menacing Mexico with the possibility of strong winds and heavy rainfall. The storm is expected to dump between 2-4 inches of rain over the Cayman Islands.

Rina could make landfall this week in Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula — home to Cancun and many of Mexico’s top tourist spots.

“It is too early to speculate what, if any effects Rina will have on the U.S., but after the storm makes landfall in the Yucatan, the combination of land interaction and high shear that is forecast into the Gulf of Mexico is expected to weaken Rina as it begins to turn towards the northeast towards Cuba, or perhaps South Florida or the Bahamas,” said CNN meteorologist Dave Hennen.

Flood-soaked Central America also braced for more rain Monday as Rina lumbered toward land.

In Nicaragua and Honduras, where flooding and mudslides have affected thousands and killed dozens of people, authorities issued alerts warning residents that more precipitation could be on the way.

October marks the end of the rainy season in the region and is when the area is most susceptible to flooding because the ground is already saturated, CNN International weather anchor Mari Ramos said.

Heavy rains have hit Honduras for several weeks, killing at least 29 people, according to government statistics.

In Guatemala, 39 people have been killed and thousands remain at risk, the state-run AGN news agency reported.

Civil protection officials in El Salvador reported 34 rain-related deaths. And Nicaragua has reported at least 12 deaths.


Hurricane Prevention

TS WASHI [SENDONG] – Update #012 - February 3, 2012 by dharkanjhel

  for Saturday, 17 December 2011 [6:50 AM PhT] Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Dec 17 2011): Please be informed that the 12PM updates will be delayed as I will be travelling to the airport to check-in for my Naga flight. Please bear with me. Thank you ~ MVP. WASHI (SENDONG)
Bushman’s Typhoon Blog

TS WASHI [SENDONG] – Update #013 - January 31, 2012 by dharkanjhel

  for Saturday, 17 December 2011 [6:45 PM PhT] Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Dec 17 2011): Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on WASHI (SENDONG). WASHI (SENDONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY: + USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr+
Bushman’s Typhoon Blog

Week’s Top Stories: January 21 – 27, 2012 - January 29, 2012 by dharkanjhel

January 2012 Reinsurance Renewal: United Kingdom: Reinsurance rates were generally flat at the January 1, 2012, renewal for the UK property market. While there were no local events causing…



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Hurricane Rina could strengthen before landfall - January 27, 2012 by dharkanjhel

(CNN) — Rina was on the verge of becoming a Category 3 hurricane as it careened near Honduras and Belize on Wednesday before heading toward Cancun.

The storm was packing near 110 mph winds early Wednesday morning and moving at 5 mph, according to the Miami-based National Hurricane Center. That is 1 mph away from a Category 3 hurricane.

Forecast models show Rina strengthening into a Category 3 hurricane before approaching the Yucatan. The projected path shows Rina back at Category 2 intensity when it takes aim at Cancun on Thursday.

Residents and worried travelers in Cancun stocked up on supplies Tuesday to prepare for the storm to hit the popular Mexican resort city.

Carla Bautista bought bread, water and canned tuna.

“It’s my first hurricane. This is new. … I’m a little afraid, because I don’t know what to expect,” said Bautista, 28, who moved to Cancun two months ago from Mexico City.

Mexican officials issued a hurricane warning for the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from north of Punta Gruesa to Cancun as the Category 2 storm strengthened. Similarly, U.S. officials issued a travel alert, advising U.S. citizens in the area to prepare themselves for the possibility of a hurricane.

Some tourists decided not to take any chances.

“We wanted to get out of there. … We were on vacation and just didn’t want to be stressed,” said Kathy Davis, 57, an American with a timeshare in Cancun.

She said she and her husband celebrated their 25th wedding anniversary at the airport while waiting to catch a flight.

In Cancun’s hotel area, crews were securing boats and clearing palm fronds and debris.

Kelly McLaughlin moved her 6-year-old son’s toys inside and trimmed tree branches around her home.

“I’m just checking everything to make sure there’s nothing loose,” said McLaughlin, a Canadian who’s lived in Cancun for eight years.

McLaughlin, 40, said preparing for storms has become routine since Hurricane Wilma devastated the area in 2005.

“My friends that are fairly new to Cancun are a lot more nervous and starting to get a little stressed,” she said. “I’m just trying to keep everyone calm.”

Lines at supermarkets and gas stations were long, residents said.

As of 5 a.m. ET Wednesday, the center of Rina was about 215 miles east-southeast of Chetumal, Mexico. It was moving west at 3 mph, but was expected to gradually turn northwest and speed up over the next two days, forecasters said.


Hurricane Prevention

Hurricane Rina takes aim at Cancun - January 24, 2012 by dharkanjhel

Authorities evacuated fishing communities on Mexico’s resort-studded Caribbean coast and some tourists began to leave, as Hurricane Rina took aim at Cancun and the island of Cozumel on Wednesday.
Hundreds of residents from the fishing town of Punta Allen, south of Tulum, were taken to emergency shelters and a smaller group was evacuated from the low-lying hamlet of Banco Chinchorro Tuesday, and cruise ships shifted their routes in the face of expected storm surges, waves and heavy rains from Rina.
Rina’s maximum sustained winds remained steady at about 175 km/h, said the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami, making it a Category 2 storm. Forecasters predict it will strengthen as it nears the Mexican coast Wednesday night before rolling over the island of Cozumel, a popular dive spot and cruise-ship port, then along the coast to Cancun.
Soldiers, marines and state police arrived with vehicles in Punta Allen on Tuesday to evacuate about 275 residents and take them to a storm shelter at a middle school; about 500 people are expected to be evacuated there in total, according to Quintana Roo state Civil Defence Director Luis Carlos Rodriguez.
The coastal area around Tulum is dotted with Mayan ruins, and further north is Playa del Carmen, another popular spot for international tourists and the departure point for ferries serving Cozumel.
State Tourism Director Juan Carlos Gonzalez Hernandez said there were about 83,000 tourists in the state, with about 45,000 of those on a stretch of coast south of Cancun that includes Tulum and Playa de Carmen, and almost 28,000 in Cancun.
There were only about 1,719 tourists in Cozumel, and many of them were leaving, Gonzalez Hernandez said.
“In the case of Cozumel, which could be hit hardest, people are leaving of their own accord and are cutting their reservations short,” said Gonzalez Hernandez.

But some were planning to ride out Rina.
Douglas Baird, 40, of Glasgow, Scotland, said he had been in Playa del Carmen for 11 days on a tour with 10 other people. He plans to stay for the five remaining days of his vacation.
“I’ll go to the bar,” he said about his plans for waiting out his first hurricane. “It won’t be a problem.”
But Wendy Powers, a 49-year-old from Louisiana who was taking a stroll at a shopping mall with two other friends, said she hadn’t heard anything about the storm until a reporter told her about it. Still, she said she wasn’t worried.
“We had Katrina and we survived it,” Powers said. “If the one coming here is a category 1 or 2, we could have a beach party.”
In Cancun’s hotel zone, a string of pickup trucks hauled small boats and jet skis away from marinas, while workers at shopping malls began boarding up windows.
At least eight cruise ships were changing itineraries away from the storm’s path, said Carnival Cruise Lines spokesman Vance Gulliksen.
Three cruise ships from the company Norwegian Cruise Line and one from Royal Caribbean have cancelled their Friday port of call in the area, said Hiram Toledo, Quintana Roo port administrator.
The area was badly damaged by Hurricane Wilma in 2005, when Cancun’s famous white-sand beaches were largely washed away.

A tourist walks past palm trees swaying in winds caused by the proximity of Hurricane Rina hurricane off the coast of Quintana Roo in Cancun on Tuesday.A tourist walks past palm trees swaying in winds caused by the proximity of Hurricane Rina hurricane off the coast of Quintana Roo in Cancun on Tuesday. Victor Ruiz Garcia/Reuters

Insurance officials estimated total damage at billion US.
State officials said they were readying more than 1,100 shelters that could handle nearly 200,000 people, though so far there was no word of any planned evacuations.
The hurricane was centred about 405 kilometres southeast of Cozumel Tuesday night and was moving west at near 6 km/h, the Hurricane Center said.
Forecasters said Rina was likely to strengthen into a Category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of about 185 km/h by Wednesday.
The forecast track shows it curving east toward Cuba by the weekend, but senior hurricane specialist Michael Brennan at the hurricane centre said it could also move toward southern Florida.


Hurricane Prevention

TS WASHI [SENDONG] – Update #014 - January 23, 2012 by dharkanjhel

  for Sunday, 18 December 2011 [6:45 AM PhT] Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Dec 17 2011): Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on WASHI (SENDONG). WASHI (SENDONG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY: + USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr+
Bushman’s Typhoon Blog

Rare late-season tropical storm in Pacific - January 22, 2012 by dharkanjhel

MIAMI — Tropical Storm Kenneth is strengthening in the
eastern Pacific Ocean, with forecasters calling it a rare late-season
tropical storm.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said Sunday that Kenneth
had maximum sustained winds near 50 mph (85 kph). The storm was centered
about 505 miles (810 kilometers) south of Manzanillo, Mexico, but was
moving away from the coast.

Projections show Kenneth moving west out to sea, away from land, over the next several days.

The eastern Pacific hurricane season ends Nov. 30.


Hurricane Prevention

Southeast Asian Weather – Local Forecasts, Recommended Clothing - January 22, 2012 by dharkanjhel

Weather conditions in Southeast Asia, country by country: find out about local seasons, best times to visit, recommended clothing, and up-to-the-minute weather reports in major Southeast Asian destinations.

Early Warnings for Weather in Southeast Asia

A list of ongoing disaster warnings in southeast Asia, in handy bullet form

Weather in Cambodia

Cambodia possesses a tropical monsoon climate. Annual temperatures may average between 70 to 95ºF (21 to 35ºC), sometimes topping off at 105ºF (40ºC) in April. Read the full article to see more details on Cambodia’s weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions in Phnom Penh and Siem Reap.

Weather in Indonesia

Indonesia has a tropical climate, with generally cooler temperatures inland and at higher elevations compared to the coastline and lowlands. Read the full article to see more details on Indonesia’s weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions in Jakarta, Medan, Makassar, and Bali.

Weather in Laos

The cool, dry season between November to February is the best time to visit Laos, with temperatures averaging 62-84°F (17-29°C). Read the full article to see more details on Laos’ weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions in Vientiane, Luang Prabang, Pakse, and Savannakhet.

Weather in Malaysia

Malaysia has a tropical climate, with very warm days and fairly cool nights. In Kuala Lumpur, average daytime temperature year-round is 82°F (27°C). Read the full article to see more details on Malaysia’s weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions in cities throughout Malaysia, including Kuala Lumpur, Penang, Kota Kinabalu, and Cameron Highlands.

Weather in the Philippines

The Philippines has a tropical climate with three distinct seasons. Average temperature in the country can range from 78-90°F (25-32°C), with humidity around 77 percent. Read the full article to see more details on the Philippines’ weather conditions. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather in cities like Manila, Baguio, Davao, and Cebu.

Weather in Thailand

Due to its location near the equator, Thailand’s tropical climate can run quite hot with temperatures hovering between 82-95°F (28-35°C), especially between March and May. Read the full article to see more details on Thailand’s weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions in tourist destinations like Phuket, Bangkok, and Chiang Mai.

Weather in Singapore

Singapore’s weather is uniformly warm and humid, experiencing year-round showers. Average daytime temperature is approximately 86ºF (30ºC), falling to 74ºF (23ºC) in the evening. Read the full article to see more details on Singapore’s weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions.

Weather in Vietnam

Due to its unique geography, Vietnam has a climate with wide variation from north to south, delineated into two distinct climatic zones. Read the full article to see more details on Vietnam’s weather. Includes information on recommended clothing and links to local weather conditions in Da Nang, Ho Chi Minh City, and Hanoi.


Hurricane Prevention

Guy Carpenter: January 2012 Reinsurance Renewal: Property Overview - January 16, 2012 by dharkanjhel

The events of 2011 had a significant impact on property renewals at January 1, 2012. The approach to the property market, particularly property catastrophe business, has evolved significantly since…



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